Articles

[Recommended Read] Why NATO Expansion Does Not Enhance Security

This article argues that NATO's eastward expansion does not necessarily enhance security. It contends that Russia views NATO's expansion as an existential threat, prompting Moscow to use military force. In response to a Russian armed attack, NATO would not provide significant support to the targeted nation due to the risk of escalation into nuclear conflict, thus increasing insecurity rather than enhancing security.

[Recommended Read] The Big Three and Why the Future Will Be Peaceful

This article explains that if China decisively surpasses the US to become the world's leading power, it would lead to a new era of peace. With China as the global hegemon, great powers would have little to no incentives to engage in hostilities.

[Recommended Read] Hong Kong's Precarious Situation

This article argues that the US and UK's advocacy for increased autonomy in Hong Kong, contrary to popular belief, is not motivated by humanitarian reasons but rather driven by geopolitical considerations, which, if successful, would not be in the interest of the people of Hong Kong.

[Recommended Read] American Promotion of Democracy in China

This article argues that America's desire for the installation of democracy in China, from a one-party system to a multi-party system, is not intended to make China a more powerful rival to the US. Instead, the goal is to weaken China in its great power competition with the US.

Why Imperial Powers Oppose a Global Shift in Power

This article explains that the rise of non-imperial nations inevitably leads to a reduction of power for historically imperial nations, thus explaining the strong opposition to such shifts.

Why China Wants to Be Contained by the U.S. in the Indo-Pacific

This article argues that, despite the challenges posed by U.S. containment in the Indo-Pacific, China actually favors this strategy because it imposes as much or greater disadvantages on the United States.

How China Collapse Theories Are Missing the Point

This article argues that predictions of China's collapse are misguided due to their emphasis on surface-level factors such as macroeconomics, demographics, real estate, and debt. Instead, these forecasts should consider the underlying one-party system that governs these elements.

Resilience Power: A New Perspective on the U.S.-China Competition

This article introduces the concept of "Resilience Power," which measures a nation's ability to maintain its integrity in the absence of external influence. In the context of US-China competition, it argues that the US may struggle to maintain its integrity due to weak resilience power if China increases its use of hard and soft power.

A Case Against U.S. Forward Presence in the Indo-Pacific

This article contends that the American forward presence in the Indo-Pacific, rather than enhancing security for the region, actually destabilizes it.

Might over Right: Navigating International Law in an Anarchic World

This article explains that international law, lacking an overarching authority capable of universally enforcing it, primarily serves as a tool to shape the behavior of middle and small powers, while great powers remain largely unaffected by it.

Geoeconomics and China’s Domestic Market: A Lever for Global Influence

This article argues that China's vast domestic market will be used as a tool for global influence, shaping foreign markets to mirror its own.

Democracy's Double-Edged Sword: How America's Global Advocacy Empowers China's Influence Worldwide

This article argues that America's global promotion of democracy, intended to alienate China's one-party system in the context of the US-China great power competition, will ultimately backfire. As China continues to rise, it will increasingly take advantage of the openness of democratic systems that the US has encouraged globally.

Advantage Through Unity: How Societal Homogeneity Positions China Ahead in the US-China Rivalry

This article argues that societal homogeneity is a source of strength for China in its competition with the US, as America's lack of homogeneity leads to infighting and weakens its competitive ability.

Why the US-China Competition is Principally Driven by China’s One-Party State System

This article argues that, contrary to popular belief, the US-China great power competition is primarily driven by China's one-party system rather than America's multi-party system. The infighting and discontinuity in the American political system hinder its effectiveness, whereas China's unified one-party system allows Beijing to steer the competition in its desired direction.

The Legacy of America's Historical Skepticism of Centralized Power and China's Millennial Tradition of Embracing Strong Central Authority : Polar Opposites in a Multipolar World

This article explains that the differing governance styles of the world's two largest economies are deeply rooted in their histories. The US political system emerged from gaining independence and empowering its citizens, while China's system evolved to maintain unity and harmony in a civilization historically plagued by division.

Navigating New Waters: Geopolitical Implications of the Kra Canal in Southeast Asia's Evolving Landscape

This article analyzes the potential construction of a new Kra Canal across Thailand, similar to the Panama Canal, and its geopolitical impact on the region.

A BRICS Reimagined : The Prospect of France within BRICS

This article argues that France could be the first Western and G7 member to join BRICS, due to its geopolitical stance and history with American-dominated Western alliances.

The Social Status Driven Personality of President Macron and His Push For European Strategic Autonomy Amidst a Growing Trans-Atlantic Conflict of Interest

This article argues that the European Union has long aimed for strategic autonomy, and with Emmanuel Macron leading Europe's only nuclear power, the region may be closer than ever to achieving this goal.

NATO in Europe and the Ukraine War from Russia's Perspective : Exploring the Unavoidable Outcome, Where Ukraine Cannot Triumph and Russia Cannot Fail

This article explains that from Russia's perspective, NATO expansion is an existential threat. As a result, Russia is determined to prevent NATO from gaining a foothold in Ukraine. Consequently, if Ukraine receives support from NATO, Russia will always escalate the conflict, making it impossible for Ukraine to achieve victory.

European Strategic Autonomy and Russia's Economic Interdependence

This article analyzes the concept of European strategic autonomy and examines how its economic interdependence with Russia impacts this goal.

Japan's Sudden Dominance of the Global Car Market in the 80s and Similarities with China's Electric Vehicles Strategy

Trade Routes Diversification and Turkey's Importance in Eurasia's Middle Corridor

Athens, Sparta and the Peloponnesian War : Parallels with Today's Great Powers

U.S.-Africa Summit

The Roman Institutions' Inability to Adapt with the Changing Times and its Subsequent Fall, From a Shrinking Middle Class to Political Instability to a Decline of National Identity : Similarites with the U.S.

Canada's American Gamble

Climate Change and the Acceleration of the Global South's Participation in the New Silk Road

Saudi Arabia's Signalling, and its position on the U.S.-China Competition : A Trend for the Global South?

Midterm Elections and Implications for 2024

The Collapse of the Han Empire and How the Erosion of Central Authority Lead to Fragmentation and Infighting : Important Lessons from China's History for Today's Governance

Argentina's Failure to Attain Great Power Status : A Tale of Redemption?

Article 5 and Article 10

October's National Security Strategy Document

Eastern Europe's Importance in the U.S.-China Competition

Democracy, Plutocracy and Meritocracy

Summit of the Americas (Terms and Conditions Apply)

Oil, Mineral, and Shipping in the Arctic

The Belt and Road Initiative : 5 Birds, One Stone

South-East Asia and the Island Chain Strategy